Fair sampling of taxonomic richness and unbiased estimation of origination and extinction rates. In J. Alroy and G. Hunt (eds.), Quantitative Methods in Paleobiology. Paleontological Society Papers 16:55-80 (2010).
Dynamics of origination and extinction in the marine fossil record. PNAS 105:11536-11542 (2008)
How many named species are valid? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 99:3706-3711 (2002)
A multi-species overkill simulation of the end-Pleistocene megafaunal mass extinction. Science 292:1893-1896 (2001)
New methods for quantifying macroevolutionary patterns and processes. Paleobiology 26(4):707-733 (2000)
Cope's rule and the dynamics of body mass evolution in North American mammals. Science 280:731-734 (1998)
My research focus for many years was diversity curves, speciation, and extinction, with most of my publications being about Cenozoic North American mammals or (under duress) Phanerozoic marine invertebrates.
But I have finally seen the light at the end of the Phanerozoic and turned my attention to quantifying diversity and extinction at this very moment.
My latest greatest inspirations are the gap filler turnover rate equations, the creeping-shadow-of-a-doubt Bayesian extinction probability equation (say that a few times fast), the rescaled Forbes index, the agnostic equation, and the double geometric distribution. But before that came shareholder quorum subsampling, which at the moment is making only the tiniest splash in ecology despite having been described in three different papers. Try running it on your ecological count data with this simple R function - if you dare. And for the more ambitious, there's always the option of downloading the fossil record of everything and crunching it to smithereens with the Fossilworks built-in diversity curve generator.
I also have projects concerning contemporary extinction rates, empirical abundance distributions, body mass estimation, Quaternary megafaunal extinctions, zoo finances, and, wow, at this point I'm starting to lose track of it all.
Not to mention that oh so many years ago I worked way too hard on quantitative methods of time scale construction.
If that's not enough, my CV gives all the gory details.
And if you simply must know right now you can cast an e-mail into the ether using this very special address: <john dot alroy at mq dot edu dot au>.
And yes, I think that someday the Mets will win the World Series.
Are Sepkoski's evolutionary faunas dynamically coherent? Evolutionary Ecology Research 6(1):1-32 (2004)
Taxonomic inflation and body mass distributions in North American fossil mammals. Journal of Mammalogy 84(2):431-443 (2003)
Putting North America's end-Pleistocene megafaunal extinction in context: large scale analyses of spatial patterns, extinction rates, and size distributions. Pp. 105-143 in R. D. E. MacPhee (ed.), Extinctions in near time: causes, contexts, and consequences. Plenum, New York (1999)
The fossil record of North American mammals: evidence for a Paleocene evolutionary radiation. Systematic Biology 48(1):107-118 (1999)